The U.S. Economy Is Growing, but the Engine Is Changing

Why steady GDP growth in 2026 hides a major shift in what is actually driving the economy

Key Takeaways

• U.S. GDP is projected to grow about 2.4 percent in 2026, signaling stability rather than rapid expansion

• Labor momentum is cooling, with slower hiring and moderating wage growth

• Consumer spending remains the primary driver of economic growth

The U.S. economy is projected to grow about 2.4 percent in 2026. That number signals stability, n…